Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $96.24K
- Potential payout
- $480K
- Potential profit
- $383.76K
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$143.76K
Polymarket Trader
x2x1xyx
0xb62a06f5675d41b19a0d19972dce87ce576f7c3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $480.99K
- Realized PnL
- $2.76K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $383.76K
- Potential payout
- $480K
- Potential profit
- $96.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $143.76K
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $994.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $184
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535.08
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 66% 150 shares