No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $22.3
- Potential payout
- $27.02
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Polymarket Trader
0xb62b...6729
0xb62bd7ae52138a7dc1ca160c6f9ef29a355e6729
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $55.76
- Realized PnL
- -$8.58
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.77
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $11.55
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $8.96
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 16% 14 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 11 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 87% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96.8% 7 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 5 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 79% 6 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 13 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 9 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 80% 19 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 80% 5 shares