Polymarket Trader

Silvervol

@silvervol

0xb631d1d6d538ecdd45fcd1fe61f8f27d865e8a87

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $456.53
Realized PnL: $2.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.73
Potential payout: $203.57
Potential profit: $194.84
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$4.87

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64.8%
Current value: $121.77
Potential payout: $187.91
Potential profit: $66.14
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $100.6
Potential payout: $128.97
Potential profit: $28.37
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $57.08
Potential payout: $103.77
Potential profit: $46.7
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $67.07
Potential payout: $102.39
Potential profit: $35.33
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $15.23

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $72.55
Potential profit: $71.89
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $12.58
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $52.42
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $3.18

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $50.65
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $14.29
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $64.11
Potential profit: $60.36
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $53.25
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.98
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $6.59
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $36.51
Multiplier: 6.54x
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.22
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.22

Over position

DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 5.5 Corners

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.59
Potential profit: $36.59
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $10.58
Potential payout: $35.87
Potential profit: $25.29
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $34.73
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $34.73
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $4.12
Potential payout: $30.52
Potential profit: $26.4
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $28.18
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $26.19
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $552.93

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.85

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.44

No position

Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.49

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.43

No position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 72% 69.44 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 79% 65.78 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Yes 79.5% 63.29 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 4.7% 21.28 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 12% 25 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.1% 28.17 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Yes 79% 63.29 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 76% 65.79 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

No 23% 62.5 shares