No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $104.01
- Potential payout
- $201.96
- Potential profit
- $97.95
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Polymarket Trader
greylock.interests
0xb631fe93d3e617808f74f50ae5708794e04f7f5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.13
- Realized PnL
- $23.6
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.58
- Potential profit
- $150.58
- User PnL
- -$48.39
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $21.08
- Potential payout
- $100.38
- Potential profit
- $79.3
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $6.67
- Potential payout
- $100.27
- Potential profit
- $93.6
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$3.69
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $51.86
- Potential profit
- $51.58
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.73
- Potential profit
- $45.73
- User PnL
- -$14.18
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.97
Yes position
Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 51% 101.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 100 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes 14% 4 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes 16% 104.38 shares
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 36.1% 6 shares
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 38% 100 shares
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 20% 51 shares
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?Yes 15% 51 shares
- Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 5.9% 51.86 shares
- Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?Yes 93.5% 69 shares
- Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?Yes 95.5% 69.11 shares
- Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?Yes 95.5% 69.11 shares