No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- User PnL
- -$3K
Polymarket Trader
0xB639a115eFA1b986cdE6132FFB1cde78bc7E18Da-1769874821702
0xb639a115efa1b986cde6132ffb1cde78bc7e18da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.42K
- Realized PnL
- -$255.84
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.22K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $717.85
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $207.14
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$292.86
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $913.96
- Potential profit
- $913.96
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $175.44
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.54
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$338.38
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 175.44 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 35% 1,428.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 67.6% 2,217.85 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 52.8% 1,893.45 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 28% 1,785.71 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 1,587.3 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 27.4% 913.96 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 15% 3,333.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 75% 1,333.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 58% 1,724.42 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 63% 1,587.3 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 3.5% 4,617.72 shares