Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $78.97
- Potential payout
- $607.45
- Potential profit
- $528.48
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $28.97
Polymarket Trader
0xb648D6B08a997871af0a8044d8eF37d463a03090-1764574067736
0xb648d6b08a997871af0a8044d8ef37d463a03090
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $312.18
- Realized PnL
- $473.64
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $50.42
- Potential payout
- $150.5
- Potential profit
- $100.08
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $11.29
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $77.23
- Potential payout
- $144.36
- Potential profit
- $67.13
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$22.77
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $50.33
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $16.33
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $55.23
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.73
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.45
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.74
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.03
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.11
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.27
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.79
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.06
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.42
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.22
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$33.63
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$57.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No 26% 150.5 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 8.2% 607.45 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 66.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 58.14 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 69.3% 144.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 81% 61.73 shares
- Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?No 85% 58.82 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No 91% 54.95 shares
- Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Yes 89% 56.18 shares
- Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?No 92% 54.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 18% 277.78 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 80% 62.5 shares