kman86

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.01K
Potential profit: $7.01K
User PnL: -$70.13

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $545.42
Potential payout: $5.74K
Potential profit: $5.2K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$143.52

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
User PnL: -$24.9

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$37.58

Yes position

Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769
Potential profit: $769
User PnL: -$15.38

Yes position

Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Metropolitan Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $624.13
Potential profit: $624.13
User PnL: -$24.97

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $6.01
Potential payout: $388
Potential profit: $381.99
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.92
Potential profit: $381.92
User PnL: -$45.83

No position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.15
Potential profit: $337.15
User PnL: -$155

Yes position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $309.1
Potential profit: $306.94
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$42.66

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $294.47
Potential profit: $291.38
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $14.39
Potential payout: $276.76
Potential profit: $262.37
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$32.66

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $199.58
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$16.25

No position

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.16
Potential profit: $204.16
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Rory Kerins win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.44
Potential profit: $201.44
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $24.87
Potential payout: $198.93
Potential profit: $174.06
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will Trabzonspor win the Süper Lig?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.82
Potential profit: $194.82
User PnL: -$32.73

Yes position

Will Quinton Byfield win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $165
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $13.13
Potential payout: $164.06
Potential profit: $150.94
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$13.13

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $158.29
Potential payout: $158.29
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $55.17

Yes position

Will Brest be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$7.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.66

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $25.49

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.18

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.16

Yes position

Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.55

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.83

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.13

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.02

Yes position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 52%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.27

No position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Implied probability: 34%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?