No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xb654...563c
0xb654d2a3276b9abe3702ce75c88934519dc1563c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.12
- Realized PnL
- $25.94
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $7.93
- Multiplier
- 8.93x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.12
Yes position
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Multiplier
- 7.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
St. Johns Red Storm position
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 11.2% 8.93 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 96.4% 5.49 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.5% 7.29 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 7.3 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.8% 6.66 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 33% 15.15 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 91% 5.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.5% 11.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 97.5% 11.28 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.3% 5.2 shares