Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $715.97
- Potential profit
- $712.03
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.06
Polymarket Trader
0xb659D09C48C8F0DEE63C86140c5Ff73Cf8ef255E-1774314373312
0xb659d09c48c8f0dee63c86140c5ff73cf8ef255e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.94
- Realized PnL
- -$19.45
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.75
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$74.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?Yes 82% 200 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?No 17% 100 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?No 16% 83.7 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?No 16% 30 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?No 7% 100 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?No 6% 83.33 shares
- Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House press briefing?No 44% 5 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 23% 216.99 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes 1.5% 333.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes 2.4% 419.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes 1.4% 715.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp 50% 1.97 shares