0xb65b...10ef

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $112.66
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on July 17?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $94.17
Potential profit: $92.66
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $64.78
Potential profit: $60.41
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on July 17?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $35.07
Potential profit: $32.77
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $22.8
Potential profit: $22.56
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $19.06
Potential profit: $14.81
Multiplier: 4.48x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $18.24
Potential profit: $17.16
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16.29
Potential profit: $16.28
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $14.54
Potential profit: $14.41
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $13.65
Potential profit: $10.72
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $11.22
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $12.18
Potential profit: $8.47
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $12.08
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 76.1%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $11.57
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $7.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.21
Potential profit: $9.21
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.71
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $6.28
Potential profit: $5.18
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $5.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.69
Potential profit: $5.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $5.31
Potential profit: $4.67
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $4.79
Potential profit: $3.43
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $3.41
Potential profit: $1.83
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $2.95
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $2.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Alexander Frusina position

ITF Louisville: Ryan Colby vs Alexander Frusina

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Mark Lajal position

Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 16?