Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $7.34
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Polymarket Trader
0xb65d...99a4
0xb65d46b8060af72fbfb9d0c767fd115f62d999a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $33.49
- Realized PnL
- -$35.35
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $6.81
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.86
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $2.84
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.1
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.91
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.72
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$13.3
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 73% 6.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 31.6% 7.34 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No 79% 6.38 shares
- Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?No 74% 6.81 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 79% 6.38 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No 77% 6.08 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No 28% 6.75 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 38% 7.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 65% 7.62 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.9% 7.12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 71.8% 7.02 shares