Polymarket Trader

Dragon-Money

0xb65e864337d802429558110015daa1f1b93a3e11

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $56.29
Realized PnL: $2.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$204

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $297.49
Potential profit: $296.6
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$195.6

Yes position

Han Duck-soo in jail by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$9.2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$54

No position

Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$8.6

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$59

Yes position

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$66

No position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$65.2

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18.3

Yes position

Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.43
Potential profit: $182.43
User PnL: -$44.9

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$91.8

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $109.25
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$31.25

Yes position

Will the next James Bond be British?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$29

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 49.7%
Current value: $49.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $50.35
Multiplier: 2.01x
User PnL: $40.65

Yes position

Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$62

No position

Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$38.2

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236

Yes position

US strikes Nigeria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.18

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.6

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.4

No position

Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.74

No position

Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will Trump sue the BBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.9

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

No position

Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 60 and 65 million views on week 1?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.7

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

Yes position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.55

No position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.2

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

Yes position

Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.8

Yes position

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.9

Yes position

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 95.4% 100 shares
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.1% 100 shares
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.1% 100 shares
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.1% 100 shares
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Yes 0.2% 100 shares
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Yes 1.4% 100 shares
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Yes 1.6% 100 shares
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Yes 1.6% 100 shares
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Yes 2% 100 shares
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?

No 99.9% 50 shares
Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?

No 99.9% 50 shares
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?

No 99.9% 50 shares