No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $190.05K
- Potential payout
- $210K
- Potential profit
- $19.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $14.43K
Polymarket Trader
Aeglos
0xb66582886125a2a2ea966f1ea60ea60b6ecabf8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $334.53K
- Realized PnL
- $27.57K
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $140K
- Potential payout
- $160K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $27.38K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.48K
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $29.31
- User PnL
- $308.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.39K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936.98
No position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.34
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.88
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $181.01
No position
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.18
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.32
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.86K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.43K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.61K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 92.5% 200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 92.5% 2,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 92.5% 2,300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.3% 4,200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 94.4% 85 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 94.4% 1,800 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 72% 9,800 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 88% 10,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 72% 21,200 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 88% 7,000 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 88% 7,000 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes 99.4% 3,000 shares