Polymarket Trader

alwayslatetotheparty

0xb687f00464e33934f5d591f224e71c3559ecaee5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.34K
Realized PnL: $3.76M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $4.24M
Potential profit: $4.24M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$68.54K

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $4.24M
Potential profit: $4.24M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$68.54K

Yes position

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $4.24M
Potential profit: $4.24M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$68.54K

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $3.52M
Potential profit: $3.51M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.85K

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $3.46M
Potential profit: $3.46M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.94K

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $3.46M
Potential profit: $3.46M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.92K

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $3.42M
Potential profit: $3.42M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.24K

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $3.42M
Potential profit: $3.42M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.24K

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $3.36M
Potential profit: $3.35M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$54.26K

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $3M
Potential profit: $3M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$48.52K

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $2.69M
Potential profit: $2.69M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$43.44K

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $692.26
Potential payout: $1.38M
Potential profit: $1.38M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.38K

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.46K
Potential payout: $982.36K
Potential profit: $979.9K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$13.92K

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $712.23K
Potential profit: $712.23K
User PnL: -$11.87K

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $712.23K
Potential profit: $712.23K
User PnL: -$11.87K

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $467.16K
Potential profit: $465.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$6.62K

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $665.01
Potential payout: $443.34K
Potential profit: $442.68K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.72K

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $555.56
Potential payout: $370.38K
Potential profit: $369.82K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.62K

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $461.04
Potential payout: $184.42K
Potential profit: $183.96K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.61K

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $92.21
Potential payout: $184.42K
Potential profit: $184.32K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.98K

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $829.87
Potential payout: $184.42K
Potential profit: $183.59K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.24K

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $184.42K
Potential profit: $183.4K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.06K

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $508.44
Potential payout: $112.99K
Potential profit: $112.48K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.37K

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $384.71
Potential payout: $109.92K
Potential profit: $109.53K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.45K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.16M

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: $656.99K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $373.47K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $300.73K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $104.56K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $48.44K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $37.66K

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.99K

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $11.35K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $10.94K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $9.24K

No position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $6.06K

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $4.56K

No position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $4.32K

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.48K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.9%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $2.81K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.5K

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 66.7%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.1%
Multiplier: 4.16x
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $979.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 5,000.1 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 1,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 1,000 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 1,000 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 1,000 shares
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 1,000 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 1,000 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 1,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 1,000 shares
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 1,000 shares