Polymarket Trader

macronmacaron

0xb68b749016f3a8a0ea05618a56c7bb80657b7be5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.48
Realized PnL: $19.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $16.48
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12AM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.53

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 25.41 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 61% 4.44 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 56.29 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 41.09 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 35.29 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 34.09 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 27.27 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 18.86 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 99.6% 3.38 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 29% 5.26 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 99.5% 1.81 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 56.3 shares