Polymarket Trader

NOSTREDANUS

0xb69e77838ed3ace46dc25956d044f20054bf85c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $343.12
Realized PnL: $1.97
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $30.8
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.57K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $11.08
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $4.42K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $127.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $372.5
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $17.48
Potential payout: $326.66
Potential profit: $309.18
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $32.86
Potential payout: $123.99
Potential profit: $91.13
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $18.09
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $105.37
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $69.2
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $67.63
Potential profit: $65.63
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$3.01

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $67.05
Potential profit: $58
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 67.4%
Current value: $40.44
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $19.56
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $24.66

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $11.39
Potential payout: $59.17
Potential profit: $47.78
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $8.15
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $28.89
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$1.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $14.11

Yes position

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Multiplier: 8.47x
User PnL: $7.44

Yes position

Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi attend UFC Freedom 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$8.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 99.4% 19.23 shares
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 5% 29.66 shares
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 0.4% 16.66 shares
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 7.4% 67.63 shares
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 1,400 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 2,200 shares
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 2,333.33 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 5,600 shares
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 15,000 shares