NeoGrand

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $10.59K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $11.8K
Potential profit: $10.32K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $11.8K
Potential profit: $10.19K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $2.29K
Potential payout: $11.6K
Potential profit: $9.31K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $731.5
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $10.27K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $595
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.41K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $565
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.44K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $535
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.47K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $98
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.9K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620
Potential profit: $620
User PnL: -$60.8

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $530
User PnL: -$16.43

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 3?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.43
Potential profit: $443.43
User PnL: -$34.87

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$292

No position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$206.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$118.33

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.13
Potential profit: $119.13
User PnL: -$16.69

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $552.64

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.78

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.64

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.87

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET