Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$19.22
Polymarket Trader
finbarr
0xb6a979b17fd4ebd4cfcd3fac0280371e2e0a79bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $565.19
- Realized PnL
- $756.63
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Ends Oct 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $565.19
- Potential payout
- $753.59
- Potential profit
- $188.4
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $52.75
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $380
- User PnL
- -$20.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $536.67
Yes position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.79
Yes position
Another Canada election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.46
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will another person be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.14
Yes position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54.47
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 68% 753.59 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 13% 36.44 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes 5% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 25% 37.28 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 12% 79 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 23% 175 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 1.4% 700 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 1.5% 500 shares
- Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?Yes 63% 76 shares
- Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?Yes 84% 271.3 shares
- Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?Yes 45% 225 shares