Polymarket Trader

shibagege

@shibaxiaogege

0xb6c83e346ab31df6e24bc53ecb6e15c03b75b9e6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $375.97K
Realized PnL: $80.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $246.3K
Potential payout: $246.92K
Potential profit: $617.3
User PnL: $11.61K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $49.8K
Potential payout: $50.07K
Potential profit: $275.39
User PnL: $410.59

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $37.7K
Potential payout: $37.87K
Potential profit: $170.41
User PnL: $308.4

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $27.73K
Potential payout: $35.33K
Potential profit: $7.6K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$4.87K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $11.14K
Potential payout: $11.48K
Potential profit: $338.53
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$118.06

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.48K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $5.19
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $41.49
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.51

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $879.47
Potential payout: $896.51
Potential profit: $17.03
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.59

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$213

Yes position

Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.59
Potential profit: $257.59
User PnL: -$59.09

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$100.8

Switzerland position

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$116

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $97.17
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $91.51
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.12K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54K

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.77K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $968.66

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $864.91

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 53% 188.68 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 71% 140.85 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 78% 4,000.98 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5

Over 78% 4,000 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5

Over 78% 4,000 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 59% 4,000.98 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

Over 99.9% 400 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 96% 100 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 91% 2,568.17 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 64% 1,000 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Over 71% 300 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 92% 2,000 shares