Polymarket Trader

AtwoodCotton

0xb6cc6f64a8616ccef7d552d1bb71401668740f34

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $135.59
Realized PnL: $269.62
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $36.39
Potential payout: $36.63
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $34.47
Potential payout: $34.7
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $0.02

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.2
Potential payout: $16.2
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.76
Potential profit: $9.76
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $8.97
Potential payout: $9.03
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $8.22
Potential payout: $8.24
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $4.26
Potential profit: $2.65
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $3.3
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $3.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $2.26
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0

Team Secret Whales position

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.61

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.35

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.81

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.19

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.16

No position

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.05

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.91

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.37

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

No position

Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Team WE position

LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Arsenal wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Bournemouth wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.3% 5,129.77 shares
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.4% 5,129.78 shares
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99.1% 5,191.53 shares
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99.2% 5,191.53 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 5,000 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 5,005.01 shares
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 5,104.1 shares
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 5,104.1 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 99.5% 5,231.92 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 99.6% 5,231.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Up 42% 4.76 shares
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99.2% 5,134.94 shares