No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $389.62
- Potential payout
- $455.7
- Potential profit
- $66.08
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $29.62
Polymarket Trader
Ignatson
0xb6ea560a88cf7751f76ca8934993b8d5ae72e90f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $676.6
- Realized PnL
- $678.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $205.87
- Potential payout
- $238
- Potential profit
- $32.13
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.76
- Potential profit
- $121.76
- User PnL
- -$99.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$77.1
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $59.78
- Potential payout
- $61.16
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.94
- Potential profit
- $59.94
- User PnL
- -$49.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.9
- Potential profit
- $49.9
- User PnL
- -$37.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.97
- Potential profit
- $29.97
- User PnL
- -$24.88
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $21.32
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$17.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.25
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.94
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.47
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $21.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.59
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $16.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp 90% 27.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 205 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETDown 88% 31.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown 95% 26.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETDown 97% 25.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?Up 85% 33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 83% 33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 87% 2.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown 80% 2.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown 69.8% 150.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp 98% 102.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp 99% 24 shares