Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Polymarket Trader
alaniswillow6150
0xb6f4a77deee8e1841f105b5c9d4393961e681935
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.62
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Norfolk State position
Norfolk State vs. Florida
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Norfolk State position
Norfolk State vs. Florida
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 13% 42 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.9% 41 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 94.1% 41 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.9% 15 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.9% 21 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 98% 39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 23% 77 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 63% 53 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96.7% 37 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 38% 70 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 38% 70 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 61% 59 shares