Polymarket Trader

Weather-Guru

0xb6fbce093cdd139858c44148a6598d8ec028c038

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $393.8
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $35.38
Potential payout: $244
Potential profit: $208.62
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $20.4
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $219.6
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $37.13
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $127.88
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $38.54
Potential payout: $164
Potential profit: $125.46
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $10.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Current value: $18.74
Potential payout: $147
Potential profit: $128.26
Multiplier: 7.84x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $19.17
Potential payout: $142
Potential profit: $122.83
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $32.43
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $105.57
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $29.48
Potential payout: $134
Potential profit: $104.52
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $28.67
Potential payout: $122
Potential profit: $93.33
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $23.9
Potential payout: $118
Potential profit: $94.11
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $8.78
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $108.23
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $7.98
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $106.02
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.62
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $89.39
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $91.41
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $89.33
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $39.53
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $45.48
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $26.1
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $10.73
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $22.28
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $22.95
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.88
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 13.7% 27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 13.7% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 13.7% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 13.7% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 29?

Yes 18.3% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 28?

Yes 9% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 28?

Yes 9% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 28?

Yes 9% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 28?

Yes 8.4% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 29?

Yes 21% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 29?

Yes 20% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 28?

Yes 7% 40 shares