Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.68K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- User PnL
- -$34.99
Polymarket Trader
tomipancho
0xb701377bdbabe4fba7b504753a4824fd91de0ca0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $72.35
- Realized PnL
- -$4.07
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $6.52K
- Potential profit
- $6.52K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$41.73
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.3%
- Current value
- $69.09
- Potential payout
- $90.6
- Potential profit
- $21.52
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $46.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.24
Y
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.28
Yes position
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.85
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
No position
Nothing Ever Happens
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.06
Yes position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.94
Yes position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.54
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.54
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Trump positive favorability on Day 100?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.27
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.98
Yes position
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$44.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Israel military action on Yemen before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Yes 24.8% 90.6 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.4% 85.6 shares
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.4% 85.6 shares
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.7% 3,665.55 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.4% 171.21 shares
- Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 499.99 shares
- Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 2,748.4 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 61% 76.92 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 0.4% 8,684.88 shares
- Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 8% 10 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 65% 76.92 shares