Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Pebbles
0xb705c56905026dbace1abe80b9f3c748eeffe280
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105
- Realized PnL
- $35.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$317.25
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$64.41
Yes position
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.44K
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67K
Yes position
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
Yes position
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
Ends May 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39K
No position
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?
Ends May 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Ethereum above $2,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $816.4
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
Ends Sep 21, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $786.35
No position
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.03
Yes position
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022?
Ends Sep 16, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.96
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.01
No position
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.75
No position
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.06
No position
Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend?
Ends May 29, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting?
Ends Sep 21, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2568501.12x
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 15, 2022?
Ends Aug 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
No position
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13?
Ends Aug 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
No position
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.7
SBF position
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend?
Ends Dec 19, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
No position
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19?
Ends Aug 19, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Yes position
Will the price of natural gas be $8.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (SEP 2022 future)
Ends Aug 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 1,500 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 30% 1,000 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 30% 100 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 14,097.23 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.1% 70,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 50,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 30,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 56,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 40,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 48.6% 499.99 shares