Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $119.3
- Potential payout
- $585.11
- Potential profit
- $465.8
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Polymarket Trader
0xB70Aa0bB7ceDfFba3b0B7eB6B95cFf329a45CAF5-1773838126291
0xb70aa0bb7cedffba3b0b7eb6b95cff329a45caf5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $172.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $53.2
- Potential payout
- $559.98
- Potential profit
- $506.78
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $128.21
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.08
- Potential profit
- $110.08
- User PnL
- -$18.81
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.94
- Potential profit
- $76.94
- User PnL
- -$32.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.4
- Potential profit
- $62.4
- User PnL
- -$24.34
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.51
- Potential profit
- $56.51
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.31
- Potential profit
- $52.31
- User PnL
- -$42.9
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.98
- Potential profit
- $47.98
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.96
- Potential profit
- $36.96
- User PnL
- -$0.96
FC Barcelona position
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$0.99
BNK FEARX position
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.01
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.06
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.04
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.18
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.17
Saint Louis Billikens position
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.15
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.71
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
MOUZ position
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Martin Landaluce position
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Karen Khachanov
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Blackhawks
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will NEC win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Thunder position
Thunder vs. 76ers
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 8% 50 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 12% 441.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 33% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes 1.7% 111.82 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes 8% 60.94 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes 2.9% 74.04 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 13% 27.39 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes 5% 144.6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 16% 76.92 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes 92% 26.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 34% 125 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 64% 270.4 shares