No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.89K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $612.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Polymarket Trader
letsfackingo
0xb716a4df1efa25a87a8ba731e391cd9f2289f61c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.38K
- Realized PnL
- $3.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.7%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 2.40x
- User PnL
- $114.78
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $120.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $261.41
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$21.04
No position
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $58.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $19.35
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $104.67
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.32
No position
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $280.88
- Potential payout
- $312.09
- Potential profit
- $31.21
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $199.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $199
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $11.15
No position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $147.99
- Potential payout
- $152.17
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.99
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $145.43
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $4.57
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $11.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $142.24
No position
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.83
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.85
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.4
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $85.74
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.44
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.76
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.02
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.51
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.94
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $46.26
No position
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $36.59
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.8
No position
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.42
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.21
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.6% 2,300 shares
- Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 95.8% 1,846.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown 50% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown 50% 10 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 568.18 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 568.18 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.9% 3,044.6 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 93.5% 1,661.39 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 83% 3,500 shares
- Will there be 1+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NHL Draft?Yes 99.7% 282.3 shares
- Will Ethan Belchetz be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No 97% 100 shares
- Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No 96% 500 shares