Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200.42
- Potential profit
- $200.12
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$24.7
Polymarket Trader
christianevolutionnow
0xb71f794b5dc7960031606726c008f95787222a75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.91
- Realized PnL
- $119.67
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $77.92
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $54.41
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.58
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $46.05
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $12.44
- Potential profit
- $11.87
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$9.43
Yes position
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $10.6
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $10.04
- Potential payout
- $11.28
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.41
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.16
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.44
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.19
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.35
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.2% 11.9 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.2% 11.62 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 74% 17.24 shares
- Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 84% 12.19 shares
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Yes 30% 76.33 shares
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Yes 29.3% 170.94 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 75% 30.76 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes 8% 44.44 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No 81% 16.66 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No 78% 18.86 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No 74% 24.39 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 17% 58.82 shares