Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90–0.94ºC in July 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.29K
- Potential profit
- $108.29K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Polymarket Trader
Kapii
0xb74711992caf6d04fa55eecc46b8efc95311b050
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.14M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.67K
- Potential profit
- $58.67K
- User PnL
- -$2.76K
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.2K
- Potential profit
- $47.2K
- User PnL
- -$2.15K
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.81K
- Potential profit
- $40.81K
- User PnL
- -$6.52K
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.87K
- Potential profit
- $36.87K
- User PnL
- -$22.58K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.12K
- Potential profit
- $23.12K
- User PnL
- -$4.54K
No position
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.86K
- Potential profit
- $21.86K
- User PnL
- -$7.89K
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.23K
- Potential profit
- $21.23K
- User PnL
- -$14.82K
Yes position
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.01K
- Potential profit
- $20.01K
- User PnL
- -$626.18
Yes position
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.35K
- Potential profit
- $18.35K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.5K
- Potential profit
- $17.5K
- User PnL
- -$8.87K
No position
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.29K
- Potential profit
- $16.29K
- User PnL
- -$10.73K
Yes position
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.06K
- Potential profit
- $14.06K
- User PnL
- -$4.15K
Yes position
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$8.5K
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.51K
- Potential profit
- $7.51K
- User PnL
- -$307.99
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
Ends Aug 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $6.98K
- User PnL
- -$3.42K
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.37K
- Potential profit
- $6.37K
- User PnL
- -$2.33K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.85K
- Potential profit
- $5.85K
- User PnL
- -$4.51K
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.74K
- Potential profit
- $5.74K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $5.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.95K
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $5.04K
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
Yes position
Will the Red Bloc win by 16 or more seats?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.93K
- Potential profit
- $4.93K
- User PnL
- -$919.53
Piastri position
F1 Italian GP: Verstappen vs. Piastri
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.87K
- Potential profit
- $4.87K
- User PnL
- -$1.61K
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in October 2025 (LS)?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $189.69K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.64K
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.99K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.75K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.29K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.86K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.48K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.59K
No position
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%?
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.34K
Yes position
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.34K
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.22K
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.12K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.88K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.49K
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.62K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.7K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.88K
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.88K
Yes position
2025 September second hottest on record?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82K
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.08K
Yes position
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.16K
No position
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.78K
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1K
Yes position
Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 20-30% of the vote?
Ends Feb 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.65K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No 99.4% 367.91 shares
- Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No 99.3% 0.27 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No 99.7% 0.17 shares
- Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No 99.2% 618.54 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No 99.4% 86.14 shares
- Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No 99.5% 478.75 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?Yes 2.8% 2,526.5 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?Yes 4.7% 1,833.87 shares
- US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes 4.9% 3.69 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 14% 8,780.13 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes 4.5% 6,863.4 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?No 30.1% 1,847.96 shares