No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $4.22K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Polymarket Trader
hooooopeless
0xb7490f040a1f21576f2d92a353302fe452fbcd19
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.25
- Realized PnL
- $4.7K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $515.04
- Potential profit
- $515.04
- User PnL
- -$375
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382
- Potential profit
- $382
- User PnL
- -$7.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196
- Potential profit
- $196
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.29
- Potential profit
- $114.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.86
- Potential profit
- $106.86
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.65
- Potential profit
- $50.65
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.08
- Potential profit
- $48.08
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.42
- Potential profit
- $31.42
- User PnL
- -$13.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $734.07
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.36
Yes position
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.35
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 96.8% 1,033.06 shares
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes 81.9% 1,253.89 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 66.3% 1,582.94 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 75.8% 249.32 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 24.3% 804.94 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 34% 804.94 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 27.7% 1,049.27 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 62% 103.16 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 12% 533.33 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 79.8% 1,230.46 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 34.8% 1,049.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 1% 1,065.24 shares