No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $307.77
- Potential profit
- $290.54
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$8.38
Polymarket Trader
KT2
0xb761f94f18e68b929176b184a15e82697d23b97f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $235.51
- Realized PnL
- $13.16
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $104.46
- Potential payout
- $274.91
- Potential profit
- $170.44
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $11.17
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $46.48
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $21.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $18.2
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $30.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $9.4
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $22.63
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $13.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $18.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.15
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $5.7
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 50% 20 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No 58% 20 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?No 18% 56 shares
- Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No 66.3% 22.63 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No 54% 9.99 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 61.3% 20 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 73% 20 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 9% 118 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes 24% 33.33 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 9.4% 53 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 7.3% 136.77 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 63% 20 shares