Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.96K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- User PnL
- -$777.65
Polymarket Trader
0xFD56945de29dEf67ef43100C53D8316DEB8D7Ec9-1773584847375
0xb76ffa3b33357fd315a352d8935f0e74e2f5aa79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.78K
- Realized PnL
- $9.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- User PnL
- -$401.49
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$350.47
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$477.84
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $444.01
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$169.94
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$91
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$94.93
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$100.52
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $964.67
- Potential profit
- $964.67
- User PnL
- -$204.46
VCU Rams position
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $897.76
- Potential profit
- $897.76
- User PnL
- -$154.61
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $789.76
- Potential profit
- $789.76
- User PnL
- -$207.14
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $774.4
- Potential payout
- $774.4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $388.87
Vanderbilt Commodores position
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $696.97
- Potential profit
- $696.97
- User PnL
- -$381.34
Missouri Tigers position
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $696.96
- Potential profit
- $696.96
- User PnL
- -$322.59
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $97.37
- Potential payout
- $671.49
- Potential profit
- $574.12
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$109.65
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $137.9
- Potential payout
- $600.89
- Potential profit
- $462.99
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $47.69
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$188
Saint Louis Billikens position
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $598.85
- Potential profit
- $598.85
- User PnL
- -$74.86
Akron Zips position
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $597.98
- Potential profit
- $597.98
- User PnL
- -$155.47
Texas Tech Red Raiders position
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $597.38
- Potential profit
- $597.38
- User PnL
- -$306.65
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $117.97
- Potential payout
- $574.06
- Potential profit
- $456.09
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$30.26
Hofstra Pride position
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $498.9
- Potential profit
- $498.9
- User PnL
- -$73.84
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $55.31
- Potential payout
- $455.21
- Potential profit
- $399.9
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$20.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975.43
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.16
Texas Longhorns position
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.49
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.53
Iowa Hawkeyes position
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Heat
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.49
VCU Rams position
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Magic
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.29
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.57
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.06
Heat position
Heat vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.02
High Point Panthers position
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.19
Senators position
Senators vs. Red Wings
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161
Tennessee Volunteers position
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.82
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons 54% 53.39 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 15.8% 54.14 shares
- Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub MensikKaren Khachanov 1% 52.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes 17.9% 54.14 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Yes 28% 51.33 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?Yes 42% 53.2 shares
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets 50% 53.33 shares
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons 60% 53.49 shares
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves 19% 52.82 shares
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons 51% 53.34 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 10% 82.85 shares
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons 54% 81.71 shares