Y
Yes position
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 83%-84%?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $159.12
- Potential profit
- $147.92
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$31.76
Polymarket Trader
yiwancibeis
0xb77d9fd19feb90e6bcfe64d7815342aa312b28bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.2
- Realized PnL
- $3.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Michigan Wolverines position
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Duke Blue Devils position
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?Yes 18% 128.64 shares
- Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes 27% 159.3 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 19% 51.91 shares
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Yes 40% 4.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 10?Yes 18% 12.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 10?Yes 40% 7.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?Yes 46% 6.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 10?Yes 36.6% 8.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?Yes 38% 8.93 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 20% 16 shares
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Yes 73% 4.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 10?Yes 44% 5.19 shares