0xb77E363f628259Edb3840700bC9Dc953710215b6-1778175200089

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $121.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $178.5
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $94.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $34.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $265.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $223.5
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $49.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $55.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $244.5
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $28.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $167.5
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $59.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $236.25
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$8.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$22.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$22.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $202.5
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $24.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $101.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $148.75
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $78.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $242.38
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$15.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$22.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$20.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$20.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$20.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $211.61
Potential profit: $211.29
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$105.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $189.14
Potential profit: $188.86
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$94.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$15.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$15.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$15.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$15.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $122.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $102.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C or below on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on June 1?