Polymarket Trader

0xB7963D0861374a44D1D03e29Acdf4af3E0F4588c-1774072258009

0xb7963d0861374a44d1d03e29acdf4af3e0f4588c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $72.05
Realized PnL: $238.15
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $72.05
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$41.94

Yes position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$30.58

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.56
Potential profit: $403.56
User PnL: -$73.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.33

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $152.66

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$33.33

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$75.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 640.95 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 15.6% 640.96 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 6% 1,111.11 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 49.5% 349.07 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 4.9% 2,037.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 97.5% 222.9 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 4.9% 286.8 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 8.2% 163.21 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 9.8% 163.21 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 5.7% 349.08 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 9% 222.91 shares