Polymarket Trader

Zirlo

0xb7a82656a4a524ee89f4c861ba5c2e2833e9d641

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $383.91
Realized PnL: $509.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $308.48
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $3.43K
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$119.61

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $9.39
Potential payout: $722.6
Potential profit: $713.21
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$30.61

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $352.68
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $348.53
Potential profit: $346.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$24.43

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $38.73
Potential payout: $336.8
Potential profit: $298.07
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$26.27

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $291.03
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $245.37
Potential profit: $242.06
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $163.42
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $134.93
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $106.58
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.78
Potential profit: $99.78
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$6.48

Yes position

Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.45
Potential profit: $13.45
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.06
Potential profit: $13.06
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $12.9
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.85
Potential profit: $12.85
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.04
Potential profit: $12.04
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $9.18
Potential profit: $8.24
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Gilberto Mora: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.67

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.23

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.3

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.23

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.06

Timberwolves position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.08

Celtics position

Magic vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.37

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.78

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Yes position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.79

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.43

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Grizzlies position

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.48

Yes position

Arsenal FC leading at halftime?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Magic position

Magic vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.87

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Yes position

Will Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.65

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 11% 22.55 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 55% 9.09 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 38.9% 12.85 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 20% 20 shares
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares
Gilberto Mora: 1+ goals

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals

Yes 34% 2.94 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 1.33 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares