0xCCED70F742a68E5Ad0Bd4675a96Cc7C078E711E3-1773789831830

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.5
Potential profit: $294.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $245
Potential profit: $244.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.84
Potential profit: $118.84
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.03
Potential profit: $103.03
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.29
Potential profit: $39.29
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $37.51
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $25.99
Potential profit: $24.42
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $25.98
Potential profit: $23.99
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.39
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.63
Potential profit: $14.63
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $12.63
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.4%
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 32.8%
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?