Polymarket Trader

AidanUC

0xb7c11f2c83c25732fd0df412fcc73122e0ad27b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.97
Realized PnL: -$44.54
Win rate: 46.2%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $719.39
Potential profit: $719.39
User PnL: -$25.7

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $71.4
Potential payout: $389.11
Potential profit: $317.7
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$28.6

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $141.94
Potential profit: $141.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$65.93

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $16.64
Potential payout: $140.45
Potential profit: $123.81
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: -$8.36

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $13.86
Potential payout: $57.87
Potential profit: $44.01
Multiplier: 4.18x
User PnL: -$11.14

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.92
Potential profit: $41.92
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.39
Potential profit: $21.39
User PnL: -$4.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 16.7% 41.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 10.3% 45.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 5% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 39% 5.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 65% 3.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 38% 5.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 38% 5.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 2% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 9% 66.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 22% 27.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Up 5% 120 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Up 21% 28.57 shares