Polymarket Trader

Jcqt

0xb7c45449c2d94245f2c4f86e854875a8d9b2be7b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.2
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37K
Potential profit: $7.37K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $20.45
Potential payout: $123.94
Potential profit: $103.49
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $64.3
Potential profit: $53.05
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.98
Potential profit: $58.98
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $8.53
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $50.29
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $13.78
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $40.27
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$6.22

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $46.15
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.23
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $39.92
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Trump say “Dana” or “White” 5+ times during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.4
Potential profit: $42.4
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $36.83
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "Incredible" during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.2
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $27.04
Potential profit: $25.97
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.71
Potential profit: $26.71
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $20.69
Potential profit: $13.66
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.13
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Ends Sep 23, 2028

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

New Zealand to score first vs. IR Iran?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will Trump say “Dana” or “White” 5+ times during UFC 250?

Yes 2.4% 42.4 shares
Will Trump say "Incredible" during UFC 250?

Yes 3% 33 shares
Will Austria be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?

No 34% 2.94 shares
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?

Yes 3.7% 27.04 shares
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?

Yes 6.5% 15.38 shares
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 4% 25 shares
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 2.5% 40 shares
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 3.7% 26.71 shares