Yes position
Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
billyballsacks
0xb7c74975b4529ca35cd0cd91e444b2ca5c8db3bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.32
- Realized PnL
- $55.44
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $165.9
- Potential profit
- $165.65
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $151.11
- Potential profit
- $150.58
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $124.06
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.57
- Potential profit
- $118.57
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $106.58
- Potential profit
- $105.68
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $61.09
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $51.76
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.55
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $47.55
- Potential profit
- $47.43
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $44.41
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $22.29
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $19.38
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $12.29
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.48
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.05
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
No position
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.98
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
England position
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Starmer say "Green" during the next PMQ?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Starmer say "Waiting List" during the next PMQ?Yes 95% 1.05 shares
- Will Starmer say "Poverty" during the next PMQ?Yes 52% 1.92 shares
- Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Yes 15% 40 shares
- Will Starmer say "Ban" during the next PMQ?No 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?No 28% 3.57 shares
- Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ?Yes 94% 1.06 shares
- Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?Yes 80% 1.25 shares
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?No 22% 4.55 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 13% 7.69 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 7% 14.29 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 78% 1.28 shares