Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $43.92
- Potential payout
- $720
- Potential profit
- $676.08
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$42.48
Polymarket Trader
SmartInsiderTrades
@SIT_Platform
0xb7d617a58b6241ee68d1d4ad67ff485a62eea563
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.07
- Realized PnL
- $56.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $40.15
- Potential payout
- $214.11
- Potential profit
- $173.96
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$21.13
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA dip to $108 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.88
Yes position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes 16% 7 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 27.9% 156.11 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 27.8% 8 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 75% 62.5 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 12% 700 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes 43% 200 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes 15% 7 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 13% 10 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 31% 50 shares
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes 33% 200 shares
- Will NVIDIA dip to $108 in January?Yes 17% 5 shares