No position
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Polymarket Trader
notaa
@smith_carr38267
0xb7d78aead408b4055181e4e1e98314d8e89a3202
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $37.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 54°F or higher on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs be above $4.50 in September?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Sharks position
Sharks vs. Islanders
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.36
- Potential profit
- $7.36
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Duke win the ACC conference tournament?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Mar 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Colts position
Cardinals vs. Colts
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Oilers position
Sharks vs. Oilers
Ends Apr 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 99.8% 92.18 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?No 99.9% 91.09 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?No 99.9% 91.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 99.9% 91.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?Yes 99.9% 91.09 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?No 99.9% 91.09 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?Yes 99.9% 91.09 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?No 99.9% 91.08 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 24?No 99.9% 91.08 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 20?No 99.9% 91.08 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?Yes 99.9% 91.08 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 12?No 99.9% 91.08 shares