Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.56K
- Potential profit
- $8.56K
- User PnL
- -$183.03
Polymarket Trader
kongshavn
0xb7d7ceb4db7f313ba21d5c99c1438d2070a6546b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.93
- Realized PnL
- $366.69
- Win rate
- 21.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $59.93
- Potential payout
- $705.12
- Potential profit
- $645.18
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$53.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.11
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.55
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 17% 705.12 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 0.7% 7,107.14 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes 3.6% 1,390.8 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 1.7% 1,455.29 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 3.8% 5,528.16 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 3.7% 1,068.92 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 26% 152.12 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 0.1% 9,990 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 0.2% 4,990 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 0.3% 8,323.33 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 3.4% 2,939.12 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 35% 76.34 shares