No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.08
- Potential profit
- $251.08
- User PnL
- -$90
Polymarket Trader
lokinehn
0xb7d9853364efc9f11b0203e21ede184225757a91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $139.27
- Realized PnL
- $283.25
- Win rate
- 90.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $40.8
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $119.2
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $9.07
- Potential payout
- $139.6
- Potential profit
- $130.53
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$70.93
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $89.4
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $30.6
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $52.2
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.06
- Potential profit
- $107.06
- User PnL
- -$60
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.27
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.47
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.11
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.63
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58
No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $13.88
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.17
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $6.28
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $5.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$30.17
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 160 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 57.3% 139.6 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 37.4% 126.57 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 31.6% 126.58 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 52.5% 124.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 66% 81.63 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 48% 148.14 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 27% 148.15 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 55% 95.23 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 35.7% 241.69 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 37% 54.05 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 57% 70.18 shares