Polymarket Trader

on-cinema

0xb7de57721ee931290e90bc0c8a9f38855130b802

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $676.63
Realized PnL: $40.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $93.92
Potential payout: $17.08K
Potential profit: $16.98K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$39.48

Yes position

Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.18K
Potential profit: $12.18K
User PnL: -$1.99K

Yes position

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $59.96
Potential payout: $7.99K
Potential profit: $7.94K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $45.79
Potential payout: $7.04K
Potential profit: $7K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$9.24

Yes position

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.77K
Potential profit: $6.77K
User PnL: -$735.92

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $56.21
Potential payout: $6.61K
Potential profit: $6.56K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $55.65
Potential payout: $6.55K
Potential profit: $6.49K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $45.09
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $5.97K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $38.7
Potential payout: $5.95K
Potential profit: $5.92K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $38.65
Potential payout: $5.95K
Potential profit: $5.91K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $5.4K
User PnL: -$213.54

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $35.01
Potential payout: $5.39K
Potential profit: $5.35K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.07

Yes position

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $35.01
Potential payout: $5.39K
Potential profit: $5.35K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.07

Yes position

Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.03K
User PnL: -$1.99K

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $5.01K
User PnL: -$633.01

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $37.39
Potential payout: $4.99K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.68K
User PnL: -$188.22

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $29.04
Potential payout: $4.47K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$5.86

Yes position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $32.89
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $28.51
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $4.36K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.44K
User PnL: -$145.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $24.01
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $20.81
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$1.76K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53K

Yes position

Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26K

Yes position

Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross less than $16m on 3-day opening weekend?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05K

Yes position

Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?

Ends Dec 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

Yes position

Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Yes position

Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?

Ends Dec 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

No position

Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $7m?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?

Ends Nov 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross less than $16m?

Ends Feb 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will 'Opus' gross less than 3m on opening weekend?

Ends Mar 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will 'Black Bag' gross less than 3m on opening weekend?

Ends Mar 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?

Ends Mar 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $966.92

No position

Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 20-24m on its opening weekend?

Ends Mar 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $904.15

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $776.46

Yes position

Will 'Last Breath' between 6-9m on its opening weekend?

Ends Mar 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $768.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 94.9% 200 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 84.2% 200 shares
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.1% 200 shares
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9% 600 shares
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.7% 600 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.7% 2,801.31 shares
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.6% 4,585.44 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3% 400.01 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.5% 200 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.3% 400.01 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 55% 121.5 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 13.4% 22.96 shares