Yes position
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $58.87
- Potential payout
- $654.08
- Potential profit
- $595.21
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$31.07
Polymarket Trader
alphanavy1
0xb7e74385729833767630b92f2f7eec3391fc11a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.53K
- Realized PnL
- $276.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $94.01
- Potential payout
- $470.04
- Potential profit
- $376.03
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$305.99
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $129.76
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $108.33
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$20.24
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $146.44
- Potential payout
- $215.35
- Potential profit
- $68.91
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.1%
- Current value
- $172.34
- Potential payout
- $200.28
- Potential profit
- $27.94
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$6.71
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $154.29
- Potential payout
- $194.08
- Potential profit
- $39.79
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Current value
- $145.06
- Potential payout
- $184.67
- Potential profit
- $39.61
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.04
- Potential profit
- $163.04
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $13.77
- Potential payout
- $119.76
- Potential profit
- $105.99
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$62.87
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $109.41
- Potential payout
- $117.02
- Potential profit
- $7.61
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $105.37
- Potential payout
- $115.79
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$4.63
No position
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $102.69
- Potential payout
- $107.53
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $102
- Potential payout
- $105.04
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $101.87
- Potential payout
- $104.43
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $90.99
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $6.8
- Potential profit
- $4.24
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.11
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $35.36
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
No position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $22.48
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $16.92
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.62
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.67
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.21
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?No 91.9% 124.21 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No 93% 103.44 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 90% 141.02 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?No 87.8% 128.2 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 43.3% 312.5 shares
- Maduro guilty of all counts?No 82.8% 208.33 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No 94% 120.65 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 92% 127.9 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 99.6% 146.34 shares
- Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes 44.1% 6.8 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 32% 312.5 shares
- Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Yes 13.8% 654.08 shares