Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $608.03
- Potential profit
- $608.03
- User PnL
- -$133.73
Polymarket Trader
tobias88
0xb7ed75b6ebac194f0f6783b618c6ccdcc061982c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.98
- Potential profit
- $316.98
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.16
- Potential profit
- $299.16
- User PnL
- -$114.28
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.76
- Potential profit
- $257.76
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.59
- Potential profit
- $192.59
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.68
- Potential profit
- $164.68
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147
- Potential profit
- $147
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.71
- Potential profit
- $119.71
- User PnL
- -$26.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.03
- Potential profit
- $98.03
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.48
- Potential profit
- $93.48
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $86
- User PnL
- -$28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.03
- Potential profit
- $59.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.49
- Potential profit
- $54.49
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.38
- Potential profit
- $50.38
- User PnL
- -$12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.54
- Potential profit
- $49.54
- User PnL
- -$15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.48
- Potential profit
- $40.48
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.77
- Potential profit
- $38.77
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.47
- Potential profit
- $38.47
- User PnL
- -$12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.7
- Potential profit
- $37.7
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.47
- Potential profit
- $35.47
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.69
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.33
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.16
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.8
Yes position
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.12
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.16
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
No position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETUp 34% 88.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETUp 33.8% 591.22 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp 19.4% 257.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 3.9% 255.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 41% 24.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 30% 25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 32.1% 31.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 30% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 29.8% 33.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 27% 37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 38% 26.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 36% 27.78 shares