No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $8.1K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $900
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Polymarket Trader
AlansWorld182
0xb7f073dad38ed9c982dbba0474e01a1d82b8eb51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.54K
- Realized PnL
- $197.91
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $3.44K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $264.55
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $168.35
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.27
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Deaf President Now! be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.37
No position
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.82
No position
Will Lucy Bevan & Emily Brockmann (F1) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.51
No position
Will Kei Kawamura & Yumi Takada (Rental Family) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.54
No position
Will Margery Simkin (Avatar: Fire and Ash) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.62
No position
Will Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (Wake Up Dead Man) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
No position
Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.28x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bugonia win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 77% 2,000 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 77% 2,000 shares
- Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No 99% 5,679.89 shares
- Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No 98% 21 shares
- Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No 99% 8.09 shares
- Will Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (Wake Up Dead Man) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No 98% 0.15 shares
- Will Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (Wake Up Dead Man) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No 96.8% 33.74 shares
- Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No 99% 128 shares
- Will Margery Simkin (Avatar: Fire and Ash) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No 98.1% 901.66 shares
- Will Lucy Bevan & Emily Brockmann (F1) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No 98% 1,441.5 shares
- Will Kei Kawamura & Yumi Takada (Rental Family) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No 96.8% 690.51 shares
- Will Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (Wake Up Dead Man) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No 94.7% 118.79 shares