Polymarket Trader

galaxphoenix

0xb7f3e1f32428f9662af6f02326ec8174ae338ed2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.5
Realized PnL: $228.41
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Guillermo del Toro win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.88
Potential profit: $259.88
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.35
Potential profit: $114.35
User PnL: -$24.01

Yes position

Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.76
Potential profit: $82.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spotify report between 735 million and 745 million monthly active users?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.52
Potential profit: $71.52
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.67
Potential profit: $67.67
User PnL: -$2

Jannik Sinner position

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.37
Potential profit: $67.37
User PnL: -$2

Musetti position

Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.57
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.69
Potential profit: $52.69
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.24
Potential profit: $49.24
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.67
Potential profit: $46.67
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Spotify report greater than 745 million monthly active users?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.37
Potential profit: $46.37
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.08

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.82

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 125k and 150k?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.56

No position

Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 64% 125 shares
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?

No 3.6% 687.52 shares
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?

No 3.4% 445.73 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Jannik Sinner 7.4% 67.57 shares
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

No 21% 114.35 shares
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Sweden

Sweden 35% 22.86 shares
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 0.7% 250 shares
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?

No 1.5% 1,004.82 shares
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?

Yes 3% 67.37 shares
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic

Musetti 28% 17.86 shares
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic

Musetti 28% 35.71 shares