Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Polymarket Trader
asdafk
0xb7fe0e807493ab7e18915ff13ecebbffd21cbad3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.5
- Realized PnL
- $140.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.83
- Potential profit
- $17.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27
Yes position
Will Solana reach $210 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Solana reach $300 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?Yes 8.6% 49.99 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 43% 50 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 93% 50 shares
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 0.9% 20 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No 75% 4.89 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 32% 31.88 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No 75% 15.11 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 14% 50 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 7% 20 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 45% 50 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 54% 50 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?No 27% 20 shares